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Nado’s Notions: Week 13

Season record: 32-24-2

Last week: 2-3 (Northwestern +11.5, Kansas State -19.5, Arizona/Cincinnati over 56.5, West Virginia +11.5, North Carolina State/Miami over 55.5)

We have really taken on water as of late. After a strong start to the season, things have not gone well as of late. It is time to turn things around as we head down the stretch!

WEST POINT, NEW YORK – NOVEMBER 08: Parker Poloskey #44 of the Army Black Knights carries the ball during the game against the Temple Owls at Michie Stadium on November 08, 2025 in West Point, New York. (Photo by Dustin Satloff/Getty Images)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-7) @ Army Black Knights (5-4) | November 22 | 11:00 AM CT | Michie Stadium

Line: Army -10 Total: 45.5

Army and Navy may be bitter rivals on the field, but the two teams resemble one another in play style. Both are known for their option offense which makes them high-powered rushing offenses. Navy leads the country in rushing yards per game at 308.2, and Army is not far behind at 260.7 yards per game.

Tulsa faced Navy earlier this season, and it did not go well for the Golden Hurricane. Navy ran at will, rushing for 367 yards and 5 touchdowns.

Can they slow down the Black Knights? Probably not.

Give me Army -10.

LEXINGTON, KENTUCKY – NOVEMBER 15: Cutter Boley #8 of the Kentucky Wildcats throws a pass in the first half against the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Kroger Field on November 15, 2025 in Lexington, Kentucky. (Photo by Caleb Bowlin/Getty Images)

Kentucky Wildcats (5-5) @ #14 Vanderbilt Commodores (8-2) | November 22 | 2:30 PM CT | FirstBank Stadium

Line: Vanderbilt -9.5 Total: 53.5

After a brutal start to the season, the Kentucky defense has rounded into form as of late. In their last three games, the Wildcats are allowing only 250.7 yards per game. That has resulted in three straight victories.

Not only has the defense rounded into form, but Kentucky has found a quarterback in Cutter Boley. Boley is completing 68.8% of his passes and has 13 touchdown passes on the season. His efforts last week earned him SEC Co-Freshman of the Week.

We will see what Boley can do for an encore against one of the SEC’s worst pass defenses in Vanderbilt. The Commodores allow 282.3 passing yards per game in SEC play.

I am taking Kentucky +9.5.

DURHAM, NORTH CAROLINA – NOVEMBER 15: Darian Mensah #10 of the Duke Blue Devils scrambles against the Virginia Cavaliers at Wallace Wade Stadium on November 15, 2025 in Durham, North Carolina. (Photo by Lance King/Getty Images)

Duke Blue Devils (5-5) @ North Carolina Tar Heels (4-6) | November 22 | 2:30 PM CT | Kenan Stadium

Line: Duke -6.5 Total: 51.5

North Carolina coach Bill Belichick came out and said he has no interest in taking the New York Giants job. Meanwhile, his team looks like they have no interest in playing offensive football. The Tar Heels average only 18.7 points per game. That was apparent as they settled for four field goals as their only scoring last week.

Meanwhile, offense is not an issue for Duke. The Blue Devils rank 21st nationally in yards per play at 6.61. That is largely due to the play of quarterback Darian Mensah. Mensah has thrown for 25 touchdowns this season, which is tied for third in the country.

Duke -6.5 is the pick.

BATON ROUGE, LOUISIANA – NOVEMBER 15: Taylen Green #10 of the Arkansas Razorbacks scores a touchdown against the LSU Tigers during the first half of a game at Tiger Stadium on November 15, 2025 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. (Photo by Derick E. Hingle/Getty Images)

Arkansas Razorbacks (2-8) @ #10 Texas Longhorns (7-3) | November 22 | 2:30 PM CT | Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium

Line: Texas -9.5 Total: 57.5

Arkansas may be the most dangerous 2-8 team. Sure, they are a danger to themselves as evidenced by their record. Nonetheless, the Razorbacks are not a fun opponent to see on the schedule.

Arkansas quarterback Taylen Green is third in the country in total offense, averaging 325.4 yards per game. Green has thrown for 19 touchdowns and added 7 more on the ground.

The Arkansas offense will take on a Texas defense that has not been as good in recent weeks, especially against the pass. In their last two games, the Longhorns have allowed seven touchdown passes.

Coming off a road trip to Georgia and with Texas A&M on deck, this could be a letdown spot for Texas.

Watch out for woo pig! Arkansas +9.5 is the pick.

WACO, TX – NOVEMBER 15: Running back Wayshawn Parker #1 of the Utah Utes scores on a long run as Baylor Bears defenders cannot catch him during the Big 12 football game between Baylor Bears and Utah Utes on November 15, 2025, at McLane Stadium, in Waco, TX. (Photo by David Buono/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Kansas State Wildcats (5-5) @ #13 Utah Utes (8-2) | November 22 | 3:00 PM CT | Rice-Eccles Stadium

Line: Utah -17.5 Total: 52.5

After putting Kansas State in last week’s edition of Nado’s Notions, I am upset with the Wildcats’ performance and I want to see them punished. A road trip to Utah is the perfect opportunity for that.

The Utah offense has been rolling lately. The Utes average 516.7 yards per game over their last three games. Running back Wayshawn Parker has played a large role in that, going over 100 rushing yards in each of those games.

The Kansas State offense, in contrast, has been quite futile. Against Oklahoma State last week, the Wildcats only mustered up 284 yards of offense.

Now, they will get one of the nation’s top scoring defenses in Utah. The Utes allow only 15.6 points per game, good for 10th nationally.

Utah -17.5 with a vengeance!

OUTTA HERE!

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