Season record: 6-7-1

Last week: 4-1 (Michigan -27.5, Arkansas +23.5, SMU +7.5, Florida State -5.5, Kansas State/Oklahoma State over 60)

Now that is more like it. The 4-1 week has me moving in the right direction, but another Oklahoma State game did not go over. I usually give recaps, but I will get right into it. I want winners, you want winners, let’s go!

Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1) @ Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-2) | September 5 | 11:00 AM CT | Jones AT&T Stadium

Line: Oklahoma State -10 | Total: 63.5

Oklahoma State has been getting it done on the ground lately. Running back Chuba Hubbard is coming off of a 296 yard rushing effort against Kansas State. On the year, Hubbard has 938 yards and 10 touchdowns. He will be facing the 100th ranked rush defense in Texas Tech, who gives up over 179 yards per game on the ground.

For an example of how bad Texas Tech is on defense, check out this clip:

Hubbard and company should have some success this weekend.

The Texas Tech offense has not been scoring as much lately. In their last two games, both losses, they have scored 16 against Oklahoma and 14 against Arizona. Now, they return to Lubbock, the land of flying tortillas.

However, you cannot keep the Texas Tech offense down. Especially with offensive coordinator David Yost calling plays.

“We are gonna score points, dude!” – David Yost, probably.

I am going back to the well with another Oklahoma State game. I am taking over 63.5.

Boston College Eagles (3-2) @ Louisville Cardinals (2-2) | October 5 | 11:30 AM CT | Cardinal Stadium

Line: Louisville -6.5 | Total: 60.5

On paper, these teams appear to be pretty evenly matched. Both also come in with two losses.

Boston College goes as their running back, AJ Dillon, goes. Dillon enters the game with 627 yards and 6 touchdowns on the season.

Louisville has had to shuffle quarterbacks due to injury. Jawon Pass has missed the last two games with an undisclosed injury. Malik Cunningham has filled in for Pass and has done a decent job, throwing for four touchdowns and only one interception. Cunningham is dealing with an injury of his own, but is expected to go against Boston College.

The difference maker for the Louisville offense is running back Javian Hawkins. Hawkins has enjoyed success for the Cardinals early in the season before being bottled up by the Florida State defense (17 carries for 52 yards).

I expect Hawkins to get back on track against a Boston College defense that gave up 329 rushing yards to Kansas (LOL).

Oh, and Louisville will be wearing uniforms honoring Muhammad Ali.

Yeah, I am backing Louisville -6.5.

Auburn Tigers (5-0) @ Florida Gators (5-0) | October 5 | 2:30 PM CT | Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Line: Auburn -3 | Total: 47.5

Both teams come into this matchup undefeated. However, it is Auburn that is more battle-tested. In the past two weeks the Tigers have dominated fellow SEC West foes Texas A&M and Mississippi State.

Auburn true freshman quarter Bo Nix continues to get better every week. Last week, Nix completed 16 of 21 passes for 335 yards with 2 touchdowns. He also added 56 yards and a touchdown on the ground.

The Florida defense presents the most difficult test to date for the Auburn offense. The Gators are fifth in the nation in scoring defense, only giving up 8.8 points per game. However, Florida has not seen an offense like Auburn’s. With Gus Malzahn calling plays again, they are a threat to any defense.

Florida is dealing with inexperience at quarterback as well. Junior Kyle Trask has done a remarkable job filling in for the injured Feleipe Franks. Trask led a comeback win at Kentucky. Since taking over, he has posted nearly identical stats as Franks.

The Auburn defense is no slouch, either. The Tigers are giving up only 320.2 yards and 17.2 points per game.

Against Texas A&M, I did not trust Auburn on the road. Now I do. I am back on the “Gus Bus” and taking Auburn -3.

Texas Longhorns (3-1) @ West Virginia Mountaineers (3-1) | October 5 | 2:30 PM CT | Milan Puskar Stadium

Line: Texas -10.5 | Total: 59

Both teams enter this game off of a bye.

Obviously, Texas enters this game as a favorite and the stats will show that for the most part. However, the Longhorns are dealing with a lengthy list of injuries.

For Texas, this will be their first game of the season outside the state of Texas. They also face Oklahoma next weekend.

Oh, and West Virginia head coach Neal Brown is no stranger to upsets. In 2017, his Troy Trojans defeated LSU in Tiger Stadium.

You don’t just walk into Milan Puskar Stadium and expect to win!

West Virginia +10.5 is the pick.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-2) @ SMU Mustangs (5-0) | October 5 | 6:30 PM CT | Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Line: SMU -13 | Total: 63

SMU returns home after two significant road wins. There was the 41-38 win over cross-town rival TCU and then the 48-21 win over South Florida which saw the Mustangs enter the Top 25 for the first time since 1986. You have to  figure Mustangs fans show up loud and proud for this one.

SMU has been fairly dominant through their first two games. They have outscored opponents by an average of 44.4-26.6. On a per play average, the Mustangs are outgaining opponents 6.41 yards to 4.86 yards. I expect SMU to keep that trend going as they face Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane averages 4.61 yards per play, while their opponents have gained 5.41 yards per play.

Give me SMU -13 as I continue to ride the undefeated Mustangs.

OUTTA HERE!