Season record: 36-32-1

Last week: 2-3 (Mississippi State +26.5, USC +7.5, SMU -13.5, Auburn +11.5, BYU -13)

Mississippi State got things off to a good start as they easily covered the huge spread in the Egg Bowl. However, things did not go so well on Saturday. USC threw not one, but two pick-sixes and were even featured on Bad Beats.

I did almost benefit from some fortunate endings with Auburn and BYU nearly scoring in the expiring moments of their respective games.

I head into the final week of the season with a winning percentage of 52.9%, but there is still work to be done.

#16 Iowa State Cyclones (10-2) vs #15 Arizona State Sun Devils (10-2) | December 7 | 11:00 AM CT | AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)

Line: Arizona State -2 | Total: 49.5

Arizona State has been a team that has beaten the odds all season. The Sun Devils were picked to finish 16th in the Big 12 before the season, now they are favored to win the conference championship.

Arizona State is led by running back Cam Skattebo, who has been a force on the ground. Skattebo is seventh nationally in rushing yards per game with 127.1.

Skattebo and the Sun Devils will square off against Iowa State. The Cyclones have had a successful season, but have struggled against the run. Iowa State enters this game surrendering 173.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 96th nationally.

Arizona State will be without one of their top playmakers in Jordyn Tyson. Tyson is out indefinitely due to an injury in the Arizona game. He leads the Sun Devils in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns.

However, this Arizona State team has been unflappable all season. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has really elevated his level of play in recent weeks. Leavitt has thrown for three touchdowns in four of Arizona State’s last five games.

Once again, give me Arizona State -2.

#5 Georgia Bulldogs (10-2) vs #2 Texas Longhorns (11-1) | December 7 | 3:00 PM CT | Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Line: Texas -3 | Total: 49.5

When these teams met last time, it was Georgia who dominated. The Bulldogs controlled the game on their way to a 30-15 victory.

However, that was then, and this is now as the two battle for a first round bye in the College Football Playoff.

In the first meeting, Texas had very little success on the ground. The Longhorns finished with 29 rushing yards on 27 carries. Quarterback Quinn Ewers was also sacked seven times.

Texas has seemingly figured out their rushing woes in recent weeks. Running back Quintrevious Wisner has emerged for the Longhorns, going over 150 rushing yards in each of their last two games.

Georgia, meanwhile, has been vulnerable against the run. UMass, yes, UMass!, rushed for 226 yards against the Bulldogs. Georgia Tech ran for 260 in the following week.

While Texas in the SEC appears to be different, their style is reminiscent of classic SEC football, built on physical football and great defense. The Longhorns are third nationally in total defense, allowing only 247.2 yards per game.

Perhaps Texas’ Minister of Culture Matthew McConaughey said it best, “sometimes you gotta go back to actually move forward…”

Looking back at Texas’ conference history, the Longhorns won the Big 12 Championship in its inaugural season.

I cannot believe I am doing this, but I am taking Texas -3.

#3 Penn State Nittany Lions (11-1) vs #1 Oregon Ducks (12-0) | December 7 | 7:00 PM CT | Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Line: Oregon -3.5 | Total: 49.5

Both these teams come into this game with sparkling resumes. Penn State and Oregon both find themselves near the top of the country in several key statistics.

Penn State has a really good rushing attack. The Nittany Lions average 5.11 yards per rush on the season, good for 25th in the country.

They will face a strong rush defense in Oregon. The Ducks have limited opponents to 2.76 yards per rush over the last four games.

If Oregon is to limit the Penn State rushing attack, it will be on quarterback Drew Allar to shoulder the load. Allar sports a healthy 71.6% completion percentage and 9.4 yards per attempt, but can he win the big one? In the Ohio State game, he completed 12 of 20 passes for only 146 yards with no touchdowns and an interception.

In contrast, Oregon quarterback Dillon Gabriel came up big when the Ducks needed him to against Ohio State. Gabriel threw for 341 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions as they narrowly defeated Ohio State, 32-31.

In a game like this, it comes down to which quarterback I trust more.

That is Dillon Gabriel; which is why I am going with Oregon -3.5.

OUTTA HERE!