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Nado’s Notions: Week 11

Season record: 20-22

Last week: 4-1 (Georgia/Missouri under 59.5, Texas A&M -4.5, Purdue +3, West Virginia +3.5, Oregon -7)

Sorry I have been away, but I have been steady improving my record. I wanted to ensure I was bringing you a quality blog and picks worth reading. I have been posting my picks on twitter, but now Nado’s Notions is back in full force.

I went 4-1 last week despite losing track of what week it was.

Photo credit: John Bazemore, Associated Press

#1 Georgia Bulldogs (9-0) @ Tennessee Volunteers (5-4) | November 13 | 2:30 PM CT | Neyland Stadium

Line: Georgia -20 | Total: 56

Last week, I took the under in Georgia’s game and won despite the Bulldogs scoring 43 on their own.

I think I am going the other direction this week. The Bulldogs are known for their defense, but they have scored at least 30 points in every game except their opener against Clemson.

Georgia’s opponent, the Tennessee Volunteers, can score quite a bit as well. Tennessee averages 38.2 points per game. On the flipside, they give up 28.2 points per game.

This total sits at 56 and every Tennessee game has surpassed that number since their 38-14 loss to Florida in late September.

Give me over 56.

Photo credit: Kevin Jairaj, USA TODAY Sports

TCU Horned Frogs (4-5) @ #10 Oklahoma State Cowboys | November 13 | 7:00 PM CT | Boone Pickens Stadium

Line: Oklahoma State -13 | Total: 54.5

TCU lost three straight then fired coach Gary Patterson. Surely, the Horned Frogs would quit, right? Wrong! They came out and upset a ranked Baylor team.

While TCU has had their struggles, moving the ball has not been an issue. They average 450 yards per game and 6.76 yards per play. For comparison, Oklahoma State averages 381 yards per game and 5.31 yards per play.

Oklahoma State has had their way with the likes of lowly Kansas and West Virginia in recent weeks. The Cowboys defeated Kansas by a score of 55-3 and West Virgnia, 24-3. Outside of those wins, Oklahoma State has not had a winning margin greater than 11. That was a 31-20 victory over Kansas State.

That is too many points. I am taking TCU +13.

Photo credit: Grant Halverson, Getty Images

#16 North Carolina State Wolfpack (7-2) @ #12 Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-1) | November 13 | 6:30 PM CT | Truist Field

Line: Wake Forest -1.5 | Total: 66.5

If you have not seen this Demon Deacons offense, you need to wake up!

Wake Forest averages 44.7 points per game. However, their recent opponents have put up plenty of points as well. North Carolina scored 58, Army scored 56, and Syracuse scored 37.

Say no more…over 66.5.

Photo credit: David Berding, Getty Images

Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-3) @ #20 Iowa Hawkeyes (7-2) | November 14 | 2:30 PM CT | Kinnick Stadium

Line: Iowa -5.5 | Total: 37

Iowa has hit the skids of late, losing two of their last three. The only win was an unimpressive win over Northwestern.

The Hawkeyes’ offense continues to be an Achilles’ heel as they are last in the Big Ten in total offense. They average only 299 yards per game.

Minnesota is coming off a disappointing 14-6 loss to Illinois. However, if there is a coach that can get a team to rebound it is PJ Fleck.

Row that damn boat! Minnesota +5.5

Photo credit: Rob Schumacher, USA TODAY Sports

Arizona State Sun Devils (6-3) @ Washington Huskies (4-5) | November 13 | 6:00 PM CT | Husky Stadium

Line: Arizona State -5.5 | Total: 45

Washington will be without head coach Jimmy Lake for this game. Lake is suspended for “getting physical” with a player during the Oregon game. Given that Washington gave up 329 rushing yards to Oregon, it seems as though Lake was the only one getting physical.

Things will not get much easier as they face Arizona State. The Sun Devils average 5.44 yards per rush on the season. That could be enough to make Washington’s ass quit…if they haven’t already.

Give me Arizona State -5.5.

OUTTA HERE!

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