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Week 14 College Football Picks (Championship Week)

Season record: 42-33-1

Last week: 5-2 (Mississippi State -10.5, Missouri -23.5, West Virginia +1.5, Michigan -4, Penn State -13.5, LSU +2.5, USC +10.5)

Another strong week to bring me to 56% on the year. To speed things along, and to avoid re-living the catastrophe in College Station, I am going to get right into this week’s action.

Please be advised that this week’s slate is quite small due to a dearth of quality games.

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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns | 11:00 AM CT | December 1 | AT&T Stadium

Line: Oklahoma -7.5 | Total: 77

I picked Oklahoma to cover against Texas in Week 6, and I am going to do the same again.

We know what the Sooners are going to do; they are going to score about 50 points and dare you to keep up. Due to their leaky defense, giving up 47 points in their last 3 games, that has been a real possibility for opponents.

Now, when I look at Texas, I see a team that is very average. On a per play average, the Longhorns get outgained 5.58 to 5.53 by their opponents. They rely heavily on sophomore quarterback Sam Ehlinger. In his last two games, he has been rather efficient, but has not provided the output needed to keep up with high-powered Oklahoma. Against Iowa State and Kansas, Ehlinger went a combined 28 of 43 for 291 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He also had a rushing touchdown in each game.

This Saturday, I look forward to seeing plenty of this.

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Kyler Murray’s big play ability should be on full display as he takes on Texas one last time. Murray is averaging 12 yards per passing attempt and 7.5 yards per rush. He will not have to do it alone as he has two quality running backs in Kennedy Brooks and Trey Sermon. Brooks averages 9.6 yards per carry while Sermon averages 6.3 yards per carry. Both have over 100 carries on the season. The Sooners’ receiving corps is also deep as they have five receivers with four or more receiving touchdowns.

I am taking Oklahoma -7.5 as they avenge their only loss on their way into a potential College Football Playoff berth.

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs | 3:00 PM CT | December 1 | Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Line: Alabama -13.5 Total: 63.5

Like Oklahoma, Alabama is very explosive offensively, however, they have a competent defense. Actually, competent is selling the Crimson Tide short as they held two ranked teams, LSU and Mississippi State, scoreless in the month of November.

Georgia comes into this game on a five-game winning streak, winning by an average of 23 points. Once again, it is the Bulldogs’ rushing attack leading the way, averaging 260 yards per game. However, this will be a challenge against the Alabama defense that only allows 3.3 yards per rush.

I’m going to get right to it and pick Alabama -13.5. They have been the best team all season and I expect that to continue.

Those are my only two picks for the week as the Big Ten and ACC games are jokes, just like the officials who worked the LSU-Texas A&M game.

OUTTA HERE!

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